Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	63%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	27%
Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Miguel Rodríguez Torres be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Donald Trump be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Marco Rubio be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Pete Hegseth be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Stephen Miller be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Richard Grenell be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Dinorah Figuera be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Frank Donovan be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Juan Guaidó be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Dan Caine be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Evan Pettus be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, June 1, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Dec 31, 2026

If X officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: X has been formally appointed, confirmed, if confirmation is required, and sworn in as the head of state Y is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as the head of state Y is actively serving as the head of 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If María Corina Machado officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following:

María Corina Machado has been formally appointe"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Dinorah Figuera be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Vladimir Padrino López be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jorge Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Evan Pettus be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Dan Caine be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Donald Trump be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Marco Rubio be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Pete Hegseth be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Frank Donovan be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Richard Grenell be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Juan Guaidó be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Miguel Rodríguez Torres be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Stephen Miller be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

8¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TlYEPq" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Markets (15)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Jorge Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Jorge Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Jorge Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Will Jorge Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget