Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?

Name: Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?
End: 2026-10-20T22:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.99K

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Markets

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Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?

Vol

$10.99K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.99K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.99K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Poly	40%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?	Poly	30%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?	Poly	28%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth <10%?	Poly	4%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 17.5%+?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$10.99K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci procedure growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will reso

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci procedure growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will reso

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci procedure growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subs"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.46)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth <10%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 17.5%+?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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