This contract concerns the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska. The market is organized as a set of vote-count brackets, and each bracket is a separate yes or no contract. The contract states that it will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in that election [1]. The rules define what counts. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options are included, while invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total is used [1]. The primary resolution source is the official results published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the election, although an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The rules also set tie-breaking and fallback terms. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket. If the results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket [1]. The listed end time in the saved event data is 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is a contract data field and should not be read as an announced date for the election or for results reporting. The saved event includes seven bracket contracts, and the sample covers all seven saved markets for this event. The brackets run from a bracket for totals below 650,000 to a bracket for totals of 900,000 or more, with intermediate ranges in between [1]. Because the sample is limited to this one saved event, it should not be read as a complete list of every possible outcome.

Historical Context

The United States holds midterm elections near the midpoint of a president's four-year term, on the first Tuesday in November. Those elections include all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 33 or 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate [3]. The Senate seat for Nebraska is therefore part of a recurring national cycle of contests. For earlier context, the 2018 United States Senate elections were held on November 6, 2018. Among the 100 seats, 33 of Class 1 were contested in regular elections, and two others were contested in special elections due to Senate vacancies in Minnesota and Mississippi. Regular election winners in that cycle were elected to six-year terms running from January 3, 2019, to January 3, 2025 [2]. This is past background and does not describe the 2026 Nebraska race or its current turnout.

Frequently Asked Questions