Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupKALSHISports

Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan: Round of Victory

Reported volume

K 2.9K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan: Round of Victory

Vol

K 2.9K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Decision / Draw / No Contest at 25%.

Kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest25%
Renato Moicano to win in Round 111.5%
Renato Moicano to win in Round 210.5%
Tom Nolan to win in Round 19.5%
Renato Moicano to win in Round 38.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will either competitor win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan fight by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will either competitor win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan fight by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest	Kalshi	25.0%
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 1	Kalshi	11.5%
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 2	Kalshi	10.5%
Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 1	Kalshi	9.5%
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 3	Kalshi	8.5%
Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 2	Kalshi	7.5%
Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 3	Kalshi	6.0%
Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 4	Kalshi	3.5%
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 4	Kalshi	3.5%
Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 5	Kalshi	3.0%
Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 5	Kalshi	2.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 2.9K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan (Oct 31) If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round X of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan: Round of Victory
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 2.9K contracts
Coverage: 11 of 11 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will either competitor win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan fight by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-OTHER; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 25.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If either competitor wins by decision or the result is Draw/No Contest  in the full fight of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 5
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-NOL5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 5 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 4
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-NOL4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 4 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 3
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-NOL3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 69.54 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 3 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 2
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-NOL2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 26.11 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 2 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Tom Nolan win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 1
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-NOL1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 8.78 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 1 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 5
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-MOI5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 5 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 4
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-MOI4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 4 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 3
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-MOI3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 993.25 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 3 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 2
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-MOI2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 1.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 2 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Renato Moicano win the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight in Round 1
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCVICROUND-26OCT31MOINOL-MOI1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround-26oct31moinol
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 395.36 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification  in Round 1 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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