GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026

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Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026

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30 markets tracked

Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	68%
Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	57%
Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	57%
Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	52%
Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	52%
Will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	49%
Will Harry Styles be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	38%
Will Bad Bunny be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	38%
Will Jennifer Lawrence be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	29%
Will Taylor Swift be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	27%
Will Margot Robbie be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	27%
Will Scarlett Johansson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	24%
Will Billie Eilish be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	23%
Will Post Malone be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	21%
Will Kim Kardashian be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	20%
Will Beyoncé be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will Charli D’Amelio be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will Travis Kelce be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	15%
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	13%
Will Kylie Jenner be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	12%
Will Stephen Curry be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Simone Biles be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Lionel Messi be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	9%
Will Quentin Tarantino be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	8%
Will Martin Scorsese be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	8%
Will LeBron James be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	8%
Will Kendrick Lamar be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	8%
Will Drake be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	8%
Will Rihanna be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Logan Paul be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

68%

Top Probability

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About This Event

Before 2027 If X is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If X appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon, e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt Y is not satisfied. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If X is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If X appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon, e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt Y is not satisfied. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Travis Scott is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Travis Scott appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Travis Kelce be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Taylor Swift be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Stephen Curry be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Simone Biles be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Scarlett Johansson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Rihanna be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Quentin Tarantino be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Post Malone be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Martin Scorsese be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Margot Robbie be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Logan Paul be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lionel Messi be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Leonardo DiCaprio be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will LeBron James be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Kylie Jenner be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Kim Kardashian be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Kendrick Lamar be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Jennifer Lawrence be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Harry Styles be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Drake be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Charli D’Amelio be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Billie Eilish be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Beyoncé be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Bad Bunny be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026

Volume$0.00

Markets30

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KALSHI

Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

If Tom Holland is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Tom Holland appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

KALSHI

Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

If Timothée Chalamet is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Timothée Chalamet appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of The Tonight Show Starring J

KALSHI

Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

If Travis Scott is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Travis Scott appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallo

KALSHI

Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

If Ariana Grande is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Ariana Grande appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fal

KALSHI

Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

If Christopher Nolan is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Christopher Nolan appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of The Tonight Show Starring J

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TwsM7a" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026"></iframe>

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Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026

Markets (30)

Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026

Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

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