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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Name: LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
End: 2026-04-16T17:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.63M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Vol

$2.63M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.63M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.63M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$2.63M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 16 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 16, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 16 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Top Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $74
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 369.45)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume$2.63M

Markets2

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POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 2. This marke

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Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/U5hTX2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"></iframe>

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LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

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Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Markets (2)

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

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