Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Virginia vs SMU: Spread

Total Volume

$858.27

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Virginia vs SMU: Spread

Vol

$858.27

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $858.27

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $858.27

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

31 markets tracked

SMU wins by over 1.5 points

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(31)

Market	Platform	Price
SMU wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	76%
SMU wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	70%
SMU wins by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	64%
SMU wins by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	62%
SMU wins by over 5.5 points	Kalshi	62%
SMU wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	59%
SMU wins by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	54%
SMU wins by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	50%
SMU wins by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	44%
SMU wins by over 11.5 points	Kalshi	44%
SMU wins by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	41%
SMU wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	38%
SMU wins by over 16.5 points	Kalshi	36%
SMU wins by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	34%
SMU wins by over 20.5 points	Kalshi	30%
Virginia wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	28%
SMU wins by over 21.5 points	Kalshi	27%
SMU wins by over 23.5 points	Kalshi	24%
Virginia wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	24%
SMU wins by over 24.5 points	Kalshi	22%
Virginia wins by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	21%
Virginia wins by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	21%
Virginia wins by over 5.5 points	Kalshi	20%
Virginia wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	18%
SMU wins by over 27.5 points	Kalshi	17%
Virginia wins by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	16%
Virginia wins by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	15%
Virginia wins by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	15%
Virginia wins by over 11.5 points	Kalshi	14%
Virginia wins by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	12%
Virginia wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$858.27

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

UVA vs SMU (Oct 17) If Virginia wins by more than X points in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Virginia vs SMU: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** UVA vs SMU (Oct 17)

If Virginia wins by more than X points in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Virginia wins by more than 7.5 points in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and r"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $858
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Virginia wins by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Virginia wins by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Virginia wins by over 5.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Virginia wins by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Virginia wins by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Virginia wins by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Virginia wins by over 1.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Virginia wins by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Virginia wins by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Virginia wins by over 11.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Virginia wins by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Virginia wins by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. SMU wins by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $856
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. SMU wins by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. SMU wins by over 5.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. SMU wins by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. SMU wins by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. SMU wins by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. SMU wins by over 27.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. SMU wins by over 24.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. SMU wins by over 23.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. SMU wins by over 21.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. SMU wins by over 20.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. SMU wins by over 1.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. SMU wins by over 17.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. SMU wins by over 16.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. SMU wins by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. SMU wins by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. SMU wins by over 11.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. SMU wins by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. SMU wins by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Virginia vs SMU: Spread

Volume$858.27

Markets31

31 of 31

Sort:

KALSHI

SMU wins by over 1.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SMU wins by over 1.5 points

If SMU wins by more than 1.5 points in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolv

KALSHI

SMU wins by over 2.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SMU wins by over 2.5 points

If SMU wins by more than 2.5 points in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolv

KALSHI

SMU wins by over 3.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.0¢No 36.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SMU wins by over 3.5 points

If SMU wins by more than 3.5 points in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolv

KALSHI

SMU wins by over 4.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SMU wins by over 4.5 points

If SMU wins by more than 4.5 points in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolv

KALSHI

SMU wins by over 5.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SMU wins by over 5.5 points

If SMU wins by more than 5.5 points in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolv

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/U5orz6" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Virginia vs SMU: Spread"></iframe>

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Virginia vs SMU: Spread

Virginia vs SMU: Spread

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SMU wins by over 1.5 points

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Virginia vs SMU: Spread

Markets (31)

SMU wins by over 1.5 points

SMU wins by over 1.5 points

SMU wins by over 2.5 points

SMU wins by over 2.5 points

SMU wins by over 3.5 points

SMU wins by over 3.5 points

SMU wins by over 4.5 points

SMU wins by over 4.5 points

SMU wins by over 5.5 points

SMU wins by over 5.5 points

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SMU wins by over 1.5 points

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Virginia vs SMU: Spread

SMU wins by over 1.5 points

SMU wins by over 1.5 points

SMU wins by over 2.5 points

SMU wins by over 2.5 points

SMU wins by over 3.5 points

SMU wins by over 3.5 points

SMU wins by over 4.5 points

SMU wins by over 4.5 points

SMU wins by over 5.5 points

SMU wins by over 5.5 points

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