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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Name: Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$445.68K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Vol

$445.68K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $445.68K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $445.68K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Poly	26%
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

26%

Top Probability

$445.68K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel. This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied. 1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, September 27, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.

1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For purposes of "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $132.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.2K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 14.48)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2026): Vol $63.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2026): Vol $69.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld