ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary market on Polymarket for the ZCash price over a 15-minute window in the market title. According to the excerpt, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1]
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1] A reader comparing this contract with a spot price chart, an exchange quote, or another platform's ZCash market should expect different measurement rules.
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T19:15:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers should convert the window themselves rather than assume the listed UTC timestamp matches the title's wording without checking.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T22:35:50.071Z [1]. These are different moments: the price was observed first, and the record was retrieved later. The provider status was recorded as active [1]. This is a historical snapshot, not a live reading.
The sample contains one market with two outcomes. "Up" is priced at 0.5 and "Down" is priced at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the two outcomes are equal in this snapshot, the sample does not show a lean in either direction at that time.
No volume or liquidity figures appear in the evidence, so this record cannot indicate how active the contract was or how many participants were involved.
What remains uncertain
The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning states that all saved markets for this event are included, but that "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." [1] For this binary contract, that caveat matters less than it would for a multi-outcome field, but it still limits any broader claim.
The evidence does not show the price path before or after the observation time, the prices at the window's start, or the final resolution. It also does not explain any movement. Any comparison with another ZCash contract should first confirm the same measurement source, time window, and close time, since differences in wording or timing can make similar-looking prices non-comparable.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-term price direction market on ZCash, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of ZCash will end a 15-minute window at or above where it started. The contract is categorized as Crypto [1]. The rules define the outcome by a time-weighted average price rather than a single trade. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract therefore compares an averaged price across the window with the starting price, rather than comparing the closing price with the opening price. The resolution source is named in the rules as information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader reading the contract should therefore look at that feed's definition of the average, not at prices on individual exchanges. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T19:15:00.000Z [1]. The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z, and the provider status at that point was active [1]. The contract had not resolved as of the snapshot. The outcome is determined by the feed over the window, so the listed end time is the closing time of the contract and not a record of what the price did. The saved snapshot shows the Up outcome at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are observed prices at one moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average ZEC/USD price over a 15-minute window, as reported by the named Chainlink TWAP data stream, is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the rule uses an average across the window rather than a single point, a brief move at the start or end does not by itself decide the result. Because the rule uses one named feed, the outcome depends on that feed's data and not on other ZCash prices. Readers should check the feed definition and the exact window in the title before relying on the contract's wording.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether the market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price data is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does this contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T19:15:00.000Z [1].
Do the displayed prices show how likely each outcome is?
The saved prices are 0.5 for Up and 0.5 for Down at one observed moment [1]. They are a snapshot and not an executable quote, so they should not be read as verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.