Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Kivattsev vs Nikles

Total Volume

$20.00

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Markets

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Kivattsev vs Nikles

Vol

$20.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $20.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $20.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Johan Nikles wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Johan Nikles wins	Kalshi	72%
Kirill Kivattsev wins	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

72%

Top Probability

$20.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Kivattsev vs Nikles (Oct 13) If X wins the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellat

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kivattsev vs Nikles
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Kivattsev vs Nikles (Oct 13)

If X wins the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellat

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Johan Nikles wins the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026 M25"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $20
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Johan Nikles wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Kirill Kivattsev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Kivattsev vs Nikles

Volume$20.00

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Johan Nikles wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.5¢No 28.5¢

KALSHISports

Johan Nikles wins

If Johan Nikles wins the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026 M25

KALSHI

Kirill Kivattsev wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHISports

Kirill Kivattsev wins

If Kirill Kivattsev wins the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Kivattsev vs Nikles professional tennis match in the 2026

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Johan Nikles wins

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Events (1)

Kivattsev vs Nikles

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Johan Nikles wins

Johan Nikles wins

Kirill Kivattsev wins

Kirill Kivattsev wins

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Johan Nikles wins

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Kivattsev vs Nikles

Johan Nikles wins

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