Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Cuenca mayoral election winner?

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Cuenca mayoral election winner?

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9 markets tracked

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Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?	Kalshi	37%
Will Juan Carlos Vega win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?	Kalshi	35%
Will Pedro Palacios win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?	Kalshi	10%
Will Marcelo Cabrera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?	Kalshi	7%
Will Yaku Pérez win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?	Kalshi	5%
Will Paúl Carrasco win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Leonardo Morales win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Juan Pablo Riquetti win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Diana Mera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

37%

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$0.00

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About This Event

in 2026 If X wins the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be determined under the contract's Payout Criterion.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cuenca mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2026

If X wins the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be determined under the contract's Payout Criterion.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yaku Pérez wins the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be d"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yaku Pérez win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Pedro Palacios win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Paúl Carrasco win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Marcelo Cabrera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Leonardo Morales win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Juan Carlos Vega win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Juan Pablo Riquetti win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Diana Mera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Cuenca mayoral election winner?

Volume$0.00

Markets9

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KALSHI

Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

If Juan Cristóbal Lloret wins the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outco

KALSHI

Will Juan Carlos Vega win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Juan Carlos Vega win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

If Juan Carlos Vega wins the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome ca

KALSHI

Will Pedro Palacios win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pedro Palacios win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

If Pedro Palacios wins the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can

KALSHI

Will Marcelo Cabrera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Marcelo Cabrera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

If Marcelo Cabrera wins the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can

KALSHI

Will Yaku Pérez win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Yaku Pérez win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

If Yaku Pérez wins the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be d

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/UFcSzN" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Cuenca mayoral election winner?"></iframe>

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Cuenca mayoral election winner?

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Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Cuenca mayoral election winner?

Markets (9)

Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Juan Carlos Vega win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Juan Carlos Vega win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Pedro Palacios win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Pedro Palacios win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Marcelo Cabrera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Marcelo Cabrera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Yaku Pérez win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Yaku Pérez win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Cuenca mayoral election winner?

Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Juan Cristóbal Lloret win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Juan Carlos Vega win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Juan Carlos Vega win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Pedro Palacios win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Pedro Palacios win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Marcelo Cabrera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Marcelo Cabrera win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Yaku Pérez win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

Will Yaku Pérez win the 2026 Cuenca mayoral election?

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