Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250: Top 3 Finishers

Total Volume

$15.92K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250: Top 3 Finishers

Vol

$15.92K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $15.92K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.92K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

38 markets tracked

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(38)

Market	Platform	Price
Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	41%
Auto Parts: Corey Day to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	36%
Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	35%
Auto Parts: Jesse Love to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	31%
Auto Parts: Brent Crews to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	25%
Auto Parts: Sam Mayer to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	23%
Auto Parts: Sheldon Creed to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	20%
Auto Parts: Taylor Gray to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	16%
Auto Parts: Austin Hill to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	14%
Auto Parts: Derek Lemke to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Ryan Ellis to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Patrick Staropoli to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Mason Maggio to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Matt DiBenedetto to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Lavar Scott to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Kyle Sieg to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: J.J. Yeley to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Joey Gase to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Josh Bilicki to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Jeremy Clements to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Jeb Burton to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Jake Finch to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Harrison Burton to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Garrett Smithley to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Dean Thompson to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Dawson Cram to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Brennan Poole to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Brandon Jones to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Blaine Perkins to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Austin Green to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Anthony Alfredo to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	12%
Auto Parts: Rajah Caruth to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	11%
Auto Parts: William Sawalich to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	10%
Auto Parts: Sammy Smith to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	7%
Auto Parts: Ryan Sieg to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	6%
Auto Parts: Parker Retzlaff to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	6%
Auto Parts: Myatt Snider to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	5%
Auto Parts: Carson Brown to finish in the top 3	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$15.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250 If X finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250 , then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolv

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250: Top 3 Finishers
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250

If X finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250 , then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolv

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Derek Lemke finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determina"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Auto Parts: Derek Lemke to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Auto Parts: William Sawalich to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $134
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Auto Parts: Taylor Gray to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Auto Parts: Sheldon Creed to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $320
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Auto Parts: Sammy Smith to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $309
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Auto Parts: Sam Mayer to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Auto Parts: Ryan Sieg to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Auto Parts: Ryan Ellis to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Auto Parts: Rajah Caruth to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $831
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Auto Parts: Patrick Staropoli to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Auto Parts: Parker Retzlaff to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $28
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Auto Parts: Myatt Snider to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Auto Parts: Mason Maggio to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Auto Parts: Matt DiBenedetto to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Auto Parts: Lavar Scott to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Auto Parts: Kyle Sieg to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Auto Parts: J.J. Yeley to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $675
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Auto Parts: Joey Gase to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Auto Parts: Josh Bilicki to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Auto Parts: Jesse Love to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $233
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Auto Parts: Jeremy Clements to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Auto Parts: Jeb Burton to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Auto Parts: Jake Finch to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Auto Parts: Harrison Burton to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Auto Parts: Garrett Smithley to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Auto Parts: Dean Thompson to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Auto Parts: Dawson Cram to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Auto Parts: Corey Day to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $8.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Auto Parts: Carson Brown to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Auto Parts: Brennan Poole to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Auto Parts: Brandon Jones to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Auto Parts: Brent Crews to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Auto Parts: Blaine Perkins to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Auto Parts: Austin Hill to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $185
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Auto Parts: Austin Green to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Auto Parts: Anthony Alfredo to finish in the top 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250: Top 3 Finishers

Volume$15.92K

Markets38

38 of 38

Sort:

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3

If Justin Allgaier finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Deter

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Corey Day to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.0¢No 64.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Corey Day to finish in the top 3

If Corey Day finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinati

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil to finish in the top 3

If Carson Kvapil finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determi

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Jesse Love to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.0¢No 69.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Jesse Love to finish in the top 3

If Jesse Love finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinat

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Brent Crews to finish in the top 3

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Brent Crews to finish in the top 3

If Brent Crews finishes in the top 3 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determina

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

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NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250: Top 3 Finishers

NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250: Top 3 Finishers

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Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3

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Educational Context

Events (1)

NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250: Top 3 Finishers

Markets (38)

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Corey Day to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Corey Day to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Jesse Love to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Jesse Love to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Brent Crews to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Brent Crews to finish in the top 3

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3

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NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250: Top 3 Finishers

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Corey Day to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Corey Day to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Jesse Love to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Jesse Love to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Brent Crews to finish in the top 3

Auto Parts: Brent Crews to finish in the top 3

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