GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	32%
Will Reddit be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	31%
Will Bloom Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	30%
Will SoFi be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	21%
Will Pure Storage be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will Venture Global be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will Cloudflare be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will CoreWeave be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Curtiss-Wright Corporation be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Toast be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will BWX Technologies be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Casey's General Stores be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Talen Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Snowflake be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Roblox be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Guidewire Software be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Duolingo be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Circle Internet Group be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Affirm Holdings be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will SpaceX be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Cerebras be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

32%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Q3 2026 If X is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes effect during the specified time period, whichever occurs first. The effective date of the change need not fall within the time period; only the announcement or implementation must occur within the time period. Temporary suspensions

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Q3 2026

If X is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes effect during the specified time period, whichever occurs first. The effective date of the change need not fall within the time period; only the announcement or implementation must occur within the time period. Temporary suspensions 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Venture Global is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes effect durin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Venture Global be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Toast be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Talen Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will SpaceX be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will SoFi be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Snowflake be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Reddit be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Roblox be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Pure Storage be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Cloudflare be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Guidewire Software be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Duolingo be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Curtiss-Wright Corporation be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will CoreWeave be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Circle Internet Group be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Cerebras be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Casey's General Stores be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will BWX Technologies be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Bloom Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Affirm Holdings be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?

Volume$0.00

Markets22

22 of 22

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

If Alnylam Pharmaceuticals is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes eff

KALSHI

Will Reddit be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Reddit be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

If Reddit is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes effect during the sp

KALSHI

Will Bloom Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Bloom Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

If Bloom Energy is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes effect during

KALSHI

Will SoFi be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will SoFi be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

If SoFi is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes effect during the spec

KALSHI

Will Pure Storage be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Pure Storage be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

If Pure Storage is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes effect during

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

8¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/UIakfP" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?

Markets (22)

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Reddit be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Reddit be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Bloom Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Bloom Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will SoFi be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will SoFi be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Pure Storage be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Pure Storage be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Reddit be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Reddit be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Bloom Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Bloom Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will SoFi be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will SoFi be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Pure Storage be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Will Pure Storage be added to the S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget