Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Palace For The People: First Week Streams

Total Volume

$6.44K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Palace For The People: First Week Streams

Vol

$6.44K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.44K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.44K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	99%
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	88%
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 250000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	88%
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 100000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	88%
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 2000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	87%
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 1000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	84%
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 3500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	56%
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 5000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	18%
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 7500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	14%
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 10000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$6.44K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Palace For The People | October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 If Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet has above X streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Palace For The People: First Week Streams
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Palace For The People | October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026

If Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet has above X streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet has above 7.5M streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 7500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $523
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 5000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $666
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 3500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $916
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 250000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $760
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 2000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $221
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 1000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $471
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 10000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $199
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 100000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Palace For The People: First Week Streams

Volume$6.44K

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

If Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet has above 500K streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as

KALSHI

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

If Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet has above 50K streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as

KALSHI

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 250000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 250000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

If Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet has above 250K streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as

KALSHI

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 100000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 100000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

If Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet has above 100K streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as

KALSHI

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 2000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 2000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

If Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet has above 2M streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as o

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Average Yes Price

62¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/UQTGUs" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Palace For The People: First Week Streams"></iframe>

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Palace For The People: First Week Streams

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Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Palace For The People: First Week Streams

Markets (10)

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 250000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 250000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 100000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 100000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 2000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 2000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

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Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Palace For The People: First Week Streams

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 500000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 250000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 250000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 100000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 100000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 2000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 2000000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?

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