Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICommodities

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 16, 2026?

Total Volume

$6.03K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 16, 2026?

Vol

$6.03K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.03K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.03K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

27 markets tracked

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 89.00 and 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 91.00 and 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 88.00 and 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 87.00 and 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 92.00 and 92.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 86.00 and 86.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 93.00 and 93.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 85.00 and 85.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be below 80.00 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 94.00 and 94.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 84.00 and 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 95.00 and 95.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 96.00 and 96.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 83.00 and 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 82.00 and 82.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 104.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 99.00 and 99.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 98.00 and 98.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 97.00 and 97.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 81.00 and 81.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 80.00 and 80.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 100.00 and 100.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 104.00 and 104.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 103.00 and 103.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 102.00 and 102.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 101.00 and 101.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$6.03K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 16, 2026 If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil, December 2026 contract, on October 16, 2026 is X Y USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 16, 2026?
**Category:** Commodities | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 16, 2026

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil, December 2026 contract, on October 16, 2026 is X Y USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(December 2026 contract) on October 16, 2026 is below 80.00 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specif"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be below 80.00 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $167
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 104.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 99.00 and 99.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 98.00 and 98.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 97.00 and 97.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 96.00 and 96.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 95.00 and 95.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 94.00 and 94.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $67
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 93.00 and 93.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $81
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 92.00 and 92.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $753
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 91.00 and 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 89.00 and 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 88.00 and 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $910
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 87.00 and 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 86.00 and 86.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 85.00 and 85.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 84.00 and 84.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 83.00 and 83.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 82.00 and 82.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 81.00 and 81.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 80.00 and 80.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 104.00 and 104.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 103.00 and 103.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 102.00 and 102.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 101.00 and 101.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 100.00 and 100.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICommodities

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 16, 2026?

Volume$6.03K

Markets27

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KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(December 2026 contract) on October 16, 2026 is between 90.00-90.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for th

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 89.00 and 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 89.00 and 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(December 2026 contract) on October 16, 2026 is between 89.00-89.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for th

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 91.00 and 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 91.00 and 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(December 2026 contract) on October 16, 2026 is between 91.00-91.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for th

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 88.00 and 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 88.00 and 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(December 2026 contract) on October 16, 2026 is between 88.00-88.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for th

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 87.00 and 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 87.00 and 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(December 2026 contract) on October 16, 2026 is between 87.00-87.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for th

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/UQxCAT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 16, 2026?"></iframe>

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Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 16, 2026?

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 16, 2026?

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Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 16, 2026?

Markets (27)

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 89.00 and 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 89.00 and 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 91.00 and 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 91.00 and 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 88.00 and 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 88.00 and 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 87.00 and 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 87.00 and 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 89.00 and 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 89.00 and 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 91.00 and 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 91.00 and 91.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 88.00 and 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 88.00 and 88.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 87.00 and 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 87.00 and 87.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?

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