Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Total Volume

$431.46

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Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Vol

$431.46

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $431.46

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $431.46

100%

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5 markets tracked

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?	Kalshi	74%
Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?	Kalshi	25%
Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 180000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 185000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 190000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$431.46

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above X million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above X million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 190 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $431
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 190000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 185000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 180000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $409
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Volume$431.46

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 170 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 175 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 180000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 180000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 180 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 185000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 185000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 185 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 190000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 190000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 190 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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26¢

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Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

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Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Markets (5)

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 180000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 180000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 185000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 185000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 190000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 190000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

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Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 180000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 180000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 185000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 185000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 190000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 190000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

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