Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?

Name: Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.58K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?

Vol

$5.58K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.58K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.58K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?	Poly	76%
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?	Poly	74%
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by February 28, 2027?	Poly	73%
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	Poly	51%
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Poly	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$5.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (263 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.

The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving f"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $635
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.79)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $639
  DATA: [Yes: 15.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by February 28, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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