Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll

Total Volume

$692.87

Events

Markets

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College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll

Vol

$692.87

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $692.87

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $692.87

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	46%
Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	38%
Will Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	27%
Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	26%
Will Indiana be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	20%
Will Alabama be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	12%
Will Texas be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	10%
Will Texas Tech be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	4%
Will Oklahoma be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	2%
Will Michigan be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	2%
Will Texas A&M be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	2%
Will Oregon be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	2%
Will LSU be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$692.87

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

#1 - Nov 15, 2026 If X is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings, expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026, for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll Week 12 Rankings, expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026, for the 2026-27 season on the official Associated Press website. Other sources may display the AP Poll with differing week labels or dates; however, resolution will be based solely on the AP’s official

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** #1 - Nov 15, 2026

If X is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings, expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026, for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll Week 12 Rankings, expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026, for the 2026-27 season on the official Associated Press website. Other sources may display the AP Poll with differing week labels or dates; however, resolution will be based solely on the AP’s official 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Georgia is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $693
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $57
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Texas A&M be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Texas Tech be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Texas be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $41
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Oregon be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Oklahoma be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $470
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Michigan be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will LSU be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Indiana be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Alabama be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll

Volume$692.87

Markets13

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KALSHI

Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.0¢No 54.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

If Georgia is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026

KALSHI

Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

If Notre Dame is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2

KALSHI

Will Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

If Miami (FL) is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2

KALSHI

Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

If Ohio St. is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 202

KALSHI

Will Indiana be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Indiana be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

If Indiana is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026

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15¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Uayt9a" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll"></iframe>

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College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll

College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll

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Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll

Markets (13)

Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Indiana be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Indiana be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

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Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll

Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Georgia be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Indiana be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

Will Indiana be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?

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