Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

What will the next Muse model family be named?

Name: What will the next Muse model family be named?
End: 2026-12-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$103.19K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will the next Muse model family be named?

Vol

$103.19K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $103.19K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $103.19K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?	Poly	9%
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Blaze?	Poly	4%
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	Poly	3%
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?	Poly	2%
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flame?	Poly	1%
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$103.19K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the model family name of the next model Meta releases in a new model family, released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying release is Meta's first publicly released model of a new model family. New versions, updates, modes, variants, or re-releases of models in existing families will not qualify. Each listed option's family name is its name excluding "Muse". This market will resolve to the listed option whose family name, together with "Muse", a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will the next Muse model family be named?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (81 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the model family name of the next model Meta releases in a new model family, released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A qualifying release is Meta's first publicly released model of a new model family. New versions, updates, modes, variants, or re-releases of models in existing families will not qualify.

Each listed option's family name is its name excluding "Muse". This market will resolve to the listed option whose family name, together with "Muse", a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the model family name of the next model Meta releases in a new model family, released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A qualifying release is Meta's first publicly released model of a new model family. New versions, updates, modes, variants, or re-releases o"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $103.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flame?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $14.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Blaze?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $20.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $17.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $14.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $14.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $22.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech