Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner

Total Volume

$584.54K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner

Vol

$584.54K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $584.54K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $584.54K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

38 markets tracked

Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(38)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	8%
Will Shohei Ohtani win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	7%
Will Jacob Misiorowski win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	5%
Will Junior Caminero win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	5%
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	5%
Will Freddie Freeman win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	4%
Will Tarik Skubal win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	4%
Will Mookie Betts win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	4%
Will William Contreras win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will Kyle Tucker win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will Max Muncy (LAD) win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will Brice Turang win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will Will Smith win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will José Ramírez win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will Yandy Díaz win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jonathan Aranda win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will Drew Rasmussen win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will Teoscar Hernández win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	2%
Will Christian Yelich win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	2%
Will Blake Snell win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	2%
Will Tyler Glasnow win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chase DeLauter win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Freddy Peralta win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Gavin Williams win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jo Adell win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chandler Simpson win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Cedric Mullins win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Trevor Megill win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Steven Kwan win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Shane McClanahan win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Sal Frelick win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	0%
Will Roki Sasaki win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	0%
Will Cade Smith win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	0%
Will Tanner Bibee win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	0%
Will Travis Bazzana win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	0%
Will Michael Harris win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	0%
Will Luis Castillo win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	0%
Will Aaron Judge win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?	Kalshi	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$584.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 season If X wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If two or more players are officially named co-winners of the award, each co-winner’s Yes contracts will pay $1/N and No contracts will pay $1 minus the Yes payout, where X is the total number of official co-winners. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 season

If X wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If two or more players are officially named co-winners of the award, each co-winner’s Yes contracts will pay $1/N and No contracts will pay $1 minus the Yes payout, where X is the total number of official co-winners. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yoshinobu Yamamoto wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two or more players are officially named co-winners of the award, each co-winner’s Yes contracts will pay $1/N and No contracts will pay $1 minus the Yes pa"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $584.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $19.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yandy Díaz win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $16.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Will Smith win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $31.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will William Contreras win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $23.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Tarik Skubal win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $19.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trevor Megill win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Teoscar Hernández win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $18.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Tyler Glasnow win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Tanner Bibee win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Travis Bazzana win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Shohei Ohtani win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $23.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.6% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Shane McClanahan win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Steven Kwan win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Sal Frelick win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Roki Sasaki win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Max Muncy (LAD) win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Michael Harris win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $26.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Mookie Betts win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $13.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Luis Castillo win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Kyle Tucker win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $22.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will José Ramírez win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $20.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Jacob Misiorowski win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $23.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $37.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.3% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Junior Caminero win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $24.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Jonathan Aranda win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $16.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Jo Adell win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $12.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Gavin Williams win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $11.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Freddy Peralta win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $12.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Freddie Freeman win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $15.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Drew Rasmussen win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $11.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Christian Yelich win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $13.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Cade Smith win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $15.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Chandler Simpson win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $28.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Cedric Mullins win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $18.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Chase DeLauter win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Brice Turang win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $12.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Blake Snell win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $11.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Aaron Judge win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner

Volume$584.54K

Markets38

38 of 38

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.6¢No 92.3¢

KALSHISports

Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

If Jackson Chourio wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two or more players are officially named co-winners of the award, each co-winner’s Yes contracts will pay $1/N and No contracts will pay $1 minus the Yes payou

KALSHI

Will Shohei Ohtani win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.4¢No 92.6¢

KALSHISports

Will Shohei Ohtani win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

If Shohei Ohtani wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two or more players are officially named co-winners of the award, each co-winner’s Yes contracts will pay $1/N and No contracts will pay $1 minus the Yes payout,

KALSHI

Will Jacob Misiorowski win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.3¢No 94.7¢

KALSHISports

Will Jacob Misiorowski win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

If Jacob Misiorowski wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two or more players are officially named co-winners of the award, each co-winner’s Yes contracts will pay $1/N and No contracts will pay $1 minus the Yes pay

KALSHI

Will Junior Caminero win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Junior Caminero win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

If Junior Caminero wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two or more players are officially named co-winners of the award, each co-winner’s Yes contracts will pay $1/N and No contracts will pay $1 minus the Yes payou

KALSHI

Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.6¢No 95.4¢

KALSHISports

Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

If Yoshinobu Yamamoto wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two or more players are officially named co-winners of the award, each co-winner’s Yes contracts will pay $1/N and No contracts will pay $1 minus the Yes pa

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Average Yes Price

2¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/UfzLqs" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner"></iframe>

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Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner

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Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner

Markets (38)

Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Shohei Ohtani win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Shohei Ohtani win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Jacob Misiorowski win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Jacob Misiorowski win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Junior Caminero win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Junior Caminero win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

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Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner

Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Jackson Chourio win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Shohei Ohtani win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Shohei Ohtani win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Jacob Misiorowski win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Jacob Misiorowski win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Junior Caminero win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Junior Caminero win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?

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