Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

Name: Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
End: 2026-10-26T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.87K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

Vol

$1.87K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.87K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.87K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	Poly	84%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

84%

Top Probability

$1.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

A presidential election was held in Brazil on October 4, 2026, and a runoff is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate receives 60,346,000 or more valid votes in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, breaking the record for the most votes ever received by a candidate in a Brazilian presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The current record is 60,345,999 votes, received by Luiz Inácio Lul

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 26, 2026 (15 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** A presidential election was held in Brazil on October 4, 2026, and a runoff is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate receives 60,346,000 or more valid votes in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, breaking the record for the most votes ever received by a candidate in a Brazilian presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The current record is 60,345,999 votes, received by Luiz Inácio Lul

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"A presidential election was held in Brazil on October 4, 2026, and a runoff is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate receives 60,346,000 or more valid votes in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, breaking the record"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $24.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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