Name: Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax - More Markets
End: 2026-04-11T19:00:00.000Z

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Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax - More Markets | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 4.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	100%
Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score	Poly	100%
Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	84%
Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	83%
Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)	Poly	49%
Spread: Heracles Almelo (-1.5)	Poly	11%
Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)	Poly	8%
Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	4%
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)	Poly	0%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 11, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** More markets for the Eredivisie game, scheduled for April 11 at 3:00 PM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for April 11 at 3:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "AFC Ajax" if AFC Ajax win the game by 3 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heracles Almelo".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been compl"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $82.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $122.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.67)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 11, 2026): Vol $194
  DATA: [Heracles Almelo: 8.2% (0.0%)] | [AFC Ajax: 91.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 11, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [AFC Ajax: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [Heracles Almelo: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 11, 2026): Vol $519
  DATA: [Heracles Almelo: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [AFC Ajax: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 11, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [AFC Ajax: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [Heracles Almelo: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 11, 2026): Vol $19.0K
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 11, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Spread: Heracles Almelo (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 11, 2026): Vol $28.3K
  DATA: [Over: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 11, 2026): Vol $22.8K
  DATA: [Over: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [Under: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 11, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

49¢

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Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax - More Markets

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Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 4.5

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax - More Markets

Markets (9)

Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)

Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)

Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)

Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 1.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 1.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 2.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 2.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 3.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 3.5

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Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 4.5

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Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax - More Markets

Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)

Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)

Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)

Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 1.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 1.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 2.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 2.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 3.5

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Over/Under 3.5

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