Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030

Total Volume

$11.73K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030

Vol

$11.73K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $11.73K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.73K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?	Kalshi	97%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.50%?	Kalshi	94%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.00%?	Kalshi	91%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?	Kalshi	90%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.00%?	Kalshi	89%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.50%?	Kalshi	87%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 59.00%?	Kalshi	77%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 59.50%?	Kalshi	67%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 60.00%?	Kalshi	57%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 60.50%?	Kalshi	48%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 61.00%?	Kalshi	39%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 61.50%?	Kalshi	28%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 62.00%?	Kalshi	18%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 62.50%?	Kalshi	9%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 63.00%?	Kalshi	6%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 63.50%?	Kalshi	5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 64.00%?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$11.73K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

December 2030 If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2030. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2030 value, Kalshi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** December 2030

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2030. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2030 value, Kalshi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above 

64.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 64.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 63.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 63.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 62.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 62.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 61.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 61.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 60.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 60.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 59.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 59.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $675
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 17, 2031): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030

Volume$11.73K

Markets17

17 of 17

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KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above 56.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.50%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.50%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above 56.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.00%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above 57.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above 57.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.00%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above 58.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/UpYbY6" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030"></iframe>

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US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030

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Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?

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Events (1)

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030

Markets (17)

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.00%?

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Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.00%?

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