Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

Name: M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo
End: 2026-10-20T03:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.00

Events

Markets

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M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

Vol

$5.00

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.00

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo	Poly	57%
Set Handicap: Yaroslav Demin (-1.5) vs Filip Peliwo (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Filip Peliwo (-1.5) vs Yaroslav Demin (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$5.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Filip Peliwo in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Filip Peliwo. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Yaroslav Demin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days af

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Filip Peliwo in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Filip Peliwo.

This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Yaroslav Demin.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days af

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Filip Peliwo in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Filip Peliwo.

This market will resolve to 'Filip"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5
* **Total Liquidity:** $181
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yaroslav Demin: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [Filip Peliwo: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Yaroslav Demin (-1.5) vs Filip Peliwo (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yaroslav Demin: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Filip Peliwo: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Filip Peliwo (-1.5) vs Yaroslav Demin (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Filip Peliwo: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Yaroslav Demin: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

Volume$5.00

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POLYMARKET

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Yaroslav Demin (-1.5) vs Filip Peliwo (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Yaroslav Demin (-1.5) vs Filip Peliwo (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Filip Peliwo in the M25 Qian Daohu, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yaroslav Demin" if Yaroslav Demin wins by 2 or more sets than Filip Peliwo, based on the final completed score.

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Filip Peliwo (-1.5) vs Yaroslav Demin (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Filip Peliwo (-1.5) vs Yaroslav Demin (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Peliwo and Yaroslav Demin in the M25 Qian Daohu, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Filip Peliwo" if Filip Peliwo wins by 2 or more sets than Yaroslav Demin, based on the final completed score. Ot

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Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

52¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/UvMpQT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo"></iframe>

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M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

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M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

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Events (1)

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

Markets (3)

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

Set Handicap: Yaroslav Demin (-1.5) vs Filip Peliwo (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Yaroslav Demin (-1.5) vs Filip Peliwo (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Filip Peliwo (-1.5) vs Yaroslav Demin (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Filip Peliwo (-1.5) vs Yaroslav Demin (+1.5)

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M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

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M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

M25 Qian Daohu: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

Set Handicap: Yaroslav Demin (-1.5) vs Filip Peliwo (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Yaroslav Demin (-1.5) vs Filip Peliwo (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Filip Peliwo (-1.5) vs Yaroslav Demin (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Filip Peliwo (-1.5) vs Yaroslav Demin (+1.5)

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