GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)	Kalshi	20%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (European Union)	Kalshi	17%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (China)	Kalshi	17%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Taiwan)	Kalshi	16%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Indonesia)	Kalshi	16%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (India)	Kalshi	16%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (United Kingdom)	Kalshi	15%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Kenya)	Kalshi	14%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Switzerland)	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2027 If a free trade deal X has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President, or at least, signing the implementing legislation, after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If a free trade deal X has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President, or at least, signing the implementing legislation, after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If a free trade deal with Taiwan has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolve"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (United Kingdom)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Taiwan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Switzerland)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Kenya)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Indonesia)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (India)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (European Union)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (China)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)

If a free trade deal with Argentina has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market reso

KALSHI

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (European Union)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (European Union)

If a free trade deal with European Union has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market

KALSHI

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (China)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (China)

If a free trade deal with China has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves

KALSHI

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Taiwan)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Taiwan)

If a free trade deal with Taiwan has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolve

KALSHI

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Indonesia)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Indonesia)

If a free trade deal with Indonesia has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market reso

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

15¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Uvmmuh" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

Markets (9)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (European Union)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (European Union)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (China)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (China)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Taiwan)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Taiwan)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Indonesia)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Indonesia)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (European Union)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (European Union)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (China)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (China)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Taiwan)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Taiwan)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Indonesia)

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Indonesia)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget