Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Name: Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci
End: 2026-10-22T05:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$507.68

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Vol

$507.68

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $507.68

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $507.68

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci	Poly	52%
Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci	Kalshi	—
Set 1 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci	Kalshi	—
Set 2 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci	Kalshi	—
Luka Pavlovic vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Kalshi	—
Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Kalshi	—
Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Kalshi	—
Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	—
Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Kalshi	—
Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Kalshi	—
Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	—
Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 21.5	Kalshi	—
Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 22.5	Kalshi	—
Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 23.5	Kalshi	—
Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Luka Pavlovic (+1.5)	Kalshi	—
Game Spread: Mattia Bellucci (-4.5) vs Luka Pavlovic (+4.5)	Kalshi	—

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$507.68

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the sched

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 22, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Mattia Bellucci.

This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Luka Pavlovic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the sched

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Mattia Bellucci.

This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $508
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $508
  DATA: [Luka Pavlovic: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [Mattia Bellucci: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Luka Pavlovic: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [Mattia Bellucci: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Luka Pavlovic: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Mattia Bellucci: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Luka Pavlovic vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Pavlovic vs. Bellucci: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Luka Pavlovic (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mattia Bellucci: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [Luka Pavlovic: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Mattia Bellucci (-4.5) vs Luka Pavlovic (+4.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mattia Bellucci: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Luka Pavlovic: 52.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Volume$507.68

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played

POLYMARKET

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Luka Pavlovic” if Luka Pavlovic wins the first set. It will resolve to “Mattia Bellucci” if Mattia Bellucci wins the fir

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Luka Pavlovic” if Luka Pavlovic wins set 2. It will resolve to “Mattia Bellucci” if Mattia Bellucci wins set 2. If the m

POLYMARKET

Luka Pavlovic vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Luka Pavlovic vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" other

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Next Market Deadline

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Oct 22, 2026, 5:30 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/UwbBMJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci"></iframe>

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Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

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Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Markets (16)

Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 1 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 1 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 2 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 2 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Luka Pavlovic vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Luka Pavlovic vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

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Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Completed Match: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 1 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 1 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 2 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Set 2 Winner: Luka Pavlovic vs Mattia Bellucci

Luka Pavlovic vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Luka Pavlovic vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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