$1.20K
1
3
$1.20K
1
3
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, January 17, 2026 between Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Prediction markets currently assign a 39% probability to Hamburger SV defeating Borussia Mönchengladbach in their Bundesliga match on January 17, 2026. This price indicates the market views a home victory for HSV as the least likely of the three match outcomes, implying Gladbach is seen as the favorite. With only $1,000 in total volume across related markets, liquidity is exceptionally thin. This low volume suggests the current odds are more indicative of initial sentiment than a deeply traded consensus and could be prone to sharp moves with new information or bets.
The pricing reflects the stark difference in current league status between the two clubs. Borussia Mönchengladbach is an established Bundesliga side, while Hamburger SV, a historic club, has been striving for promotion from the 2. Bundesliga for several seasons. The market is likely pricing in Gladbach's superior top-flight resources, squad quality, and consistency. Furthermore, historical context matters. HSV's last Bundesliga victory over Gladbach came in 2011, a prolonged period of competitive disadvantage that the market is factoring into its assessment. The low probability also accounts for Hamburg's potential defensive vulnerabilities against a higher-caliber attacking unit.
Given the thin liquidity, even a modest influx of capital from bettors with a contrarian view could shift the odds significantly. The primary catalyst for a major repricing would be concrete team news released ahead of the match. For example, confirmation of several key injuries or suspensions for Borussia Mönchengladbach could make a Hamburg win appear more plausible, potentially driving the "Yes" share price above 50%. Conversely, any news of a depleted HSV squad would solidify the current low probability. As this is a future-dated event for the 2025/26 season, the odds will remain highly speculative until the actual form and squad details of both teams in that specific season become clearer closer to the match date.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic concerns the upcoming Bundesliga football match between Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach, scheduled for Saturday, January 17, 2026. The Bundesliga is Germany's premier professional football league, and this fixture represents a clash between two historic clubs with significant fanbases and distinct recent trajectories. Hamburger SV, a traditional powerhouse and founding Bundesliga member, is currently competing in the 2. Bundesliga as of the 2024/25 season, having been relegated in 2018. Borussia Mönchengladbach, known as 'Die Fohlen' (The Foals), has maintained consistent top-flight status, regularly competing in European competitions. The specific interest in this 2026 fixture stems from its potential implications for promotion, relegation, or European qualification, depending on both clubs' positions at that future date. Prediction markets allow participants to wager on various outcomes of this match, including the final score, match winner, or specific in-game events, by trading shares based on the perceived probability of those outcomes occurring. The market activity reflects collective intelligence about team form, player availability, tactical approaches, and historical precedents ahead of the contest.
The rivalry between Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach is one of the Bundesliga's classic fixtures, though it has been dormant since HSV's relegation. Historically, both clubs were dominant forces in German football during the 1970s and 1980s. Hamburger SV, a founding member of the Bundesliga in 1963, was the last club to win the German championship before the Bayern Munich era of dominance began, claiming the title in 1983. They also won the European Cup in 1983. Borussia Mönchengladbach enjoyed its golden era under coach Hennes Weisweiler, winning five Bundesliga titles between 1970 and 1977 and two UEFA Cups. Head-to-head, the clubs have met over 90 times in competitive matches. A notable period of intense rivalry occurred in the late 1970s, with several title races decided between them. The dynamic shifted in the 21st century, with Gladbach generally maintaining Bundesliga status while Hamburg struggled before their eventual relegation in 2018, ending a record 55-year continuous stint in the top flight. This historical weight adds significance to any future meeting, representing a clash of fallen giants and established top-flight contenders.
Beyond the sporting contest, this match carries substantial economic and social weight. For Hamburger SV, a return to the Bundesliga is financially critical, with television revenue distributions in Germany's top flight being exponentially larger than in the second division. Promotion can mean over 100 million euros in additional annual revenue, impacting the club's ability to invest in infrastructure and retain talent. For the city of Hamburg, a Bundesliga club provides significant tourism, hospitality, and merchandising benefits. For Borussia Mönchengladbach, every point is vital for achieving seasonal objectives, which often include qualification for European competitions, bringing further prestige and revenue. Socially, the match is a major event for the fanbases of both clubs. HSV supporters yearn for a return to top-flight relevance, while Gladbach fans view matches against traditional clubs as benchmarks of their own status. The result can influence morale, membership numbers, and community engagement for months. Furthermore, the outcome feeds into broader narratives about club management, coaching prowess, and the health of German football's competitive landscape beyond the usual dominance of Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund.
As of the 2024/25 season, Hamburger SV is competing in the 2. Bundesliga, seeking promotion back to the top flight. Their performance in this campaign will determine if they are a Bundesliga club for the scheduled 2026 fixture. Borussia Mönchengladbach continues to compete in the Bundesliga, with their final league position in the 2024/25 season influencing their objectives for the following year. The latest developments involve both clubs' activities in the most recent transfer windows, shaping the squads that will contest future seasons. Pre-season preparations for the 2025/26 campaign, which precedes the January 2026 match, will be the next major phase, involving tactical planning and potential further squad adjustments by both management teams.
The last competitive meeting was in the Bundesliga during the 2016/17 season. Borussia Mönchengladbach won the home fixture 2-1 in December 2016, and the return match in Hamburg ended in a 2-2 draw in May 2017.
Hamburger SV plays its home matches at the Volksparkstadion, located in Hamburg. The stadium has a capacity of approximately 57,000 spectators and has been the club's home since 1963.
Yes, Hamburger SV won the European Cup, the predecessor to the UEFA Champions League, in the 1982/83 season. They defeated Juventus 1-0 in the final held in Athens, with Felix Magath scoring the winning goal.
The nickname 'Die Fohlen' (The Foals) originated in the 1970s under coach Hennes Weisweiler. It described his young, fast, and dynamic team that played an exciting, attacking style of football, reminiscent of spirited young horses.
The top two teams in the 2. Bundesliga are automatically promoted to the Bundesliga. The team that finishes in third place enters a two-legged promotion/relegation play-off against the 16th-placed team from the Bundesliga, with the winner earning a spot in the top division.
Jupp Heynckes is Borussia Mönchengladbach's all-time top scorer. During his playing career with the club, primarily in the 1960s and 1970s, he scored 195 goals in the Bundesliga and 292 goals across all competitions.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
Share your predictions and analysis with other traders. Coming soon!
3 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 39% |
| Poly | 33% |
| Poly | 28% |
No related news found
Add this market to your website
<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Ux053X" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach"></iframe>