GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis

Name: NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis
End: 2026-08-05T16:25:57.780Z

Total Volume

$2.01K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis

Vol

$2.01K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.01K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.01K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

50 markets tracked

Will Notre Dame make College Football Playoff Semifinals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(50)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Notre Dame make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	56%
Will USC make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	54%
Will Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	53%
Will Georgia make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	50%
Will Indiana make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	50%
Will LSU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	50%
Will Oregon make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	50%
Will Ohio St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	47%
Will Oklahoma make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	27%
Will Kentucky make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	27%
Will Houston make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	27%
Will Iowa make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	26%
Will Miami (FL) make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	26%
Will Penn St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	26%
Will James Madison make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	26%
Will North Carolina St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	26%
Will Texas Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	26%
Will BYU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	25%
Will South Carolina make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	25%
Will Texas A&M make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	25%
Will Arizona make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	25%
Will Arizona St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	25%
Will Utah make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	25%
Will Clemson make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	24%
Will Alabama make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	21%
Will Ole Miss make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	11%
Will Florida make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	8%
Will Michigan make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	7%
Will Tennessee make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	7%
Will Baylor make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	6%
Will Missouri make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	6%
Will SMU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	6%
Will Auburn make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	6%
Will Vanderbilt make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	4%
Will Georgia Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	4%
Will Illinois make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	4%
Will Louisville make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	4%
Will TCU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	4%
Will Virginia make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	4%
Will Washington make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	4%
Will Miami (OH) make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%
Will Arkansas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%
Will California make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%
Will Florida St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%
Will Kansas St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%
Will Oklahoma St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%
Will Pittsburgh make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%
Will Tulane make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%
Will North Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%
Will Virginia Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$2.01K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 202

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 5, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game.

If the College Football Playoff for the 202

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Georgia make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Indiana make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $167
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ole Miss make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Alabama make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Arizona make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Arkansas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Arizona St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Auburn make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Baylor make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will BYU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will California make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Clemson make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Florida make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Florida St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Georgia Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Houston make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Illinois make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Iowa make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will James Madison make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 25.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.3% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Kansas St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Louisville make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will LSU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $220
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Miami (FL) make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Michigan make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Missouri make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Miami (OH) make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will North Carolina St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Notre Dame make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $691
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Oklahoma make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Oklahoma St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Oregon make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Ohio St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $188
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Pittsburgh make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Penn St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will South Carolina make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will SMU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will TCU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Tennessee make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Texas Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $215
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Tulane make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Texas A&M make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Kentucky make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 26.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.4% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will North Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will USC make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will Utah make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.4% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will Virginia make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will Vanderbilt make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will Virginia Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will Washington make College Football Playoff Semifinals?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports