GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Price of Dozen Eggs in August?

Name: Price of Dozen Eggs in August?
End: 2026-09-11T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$35.70K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Price of Dozen Eggs in August?

Vol

$35.70K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $35.70K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $35.70K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?	Poly	63%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?	Poly	20%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?	Poly	17%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.10 in August?	Poly	2%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.40–$2.50 in August?	Poly	1%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–$2.60 in August?	Poly	1%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90–$2.00 in August?	Poly	1%
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.60 in August?	Poly	0%
Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.80 in August?	Poly	0%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.80–$1.90 in August?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$35.70K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the spe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Price of Dozen Eggs in August?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 11, 2026 (6 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the spe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $35.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.44)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.80 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $623
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.80–$1.90 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $472
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90–$2.00 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.10 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $13.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.2% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $8.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.40–$2.50 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $950
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–$2.60 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.60 in August?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy