Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Wisconsin corn yield in 2026

Total Volume

$105.80K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Wisconsin corn yield in 2026

Vol

$105.80K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $105.80K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $105.80K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?	Kalshi	98%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?	Kalshi	97%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?	Kalshi	89%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 176 bu/acre?	Kalshi	78%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?	Kalshi	65%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 184 bu/acre?	Kalshi	38%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 188 bu/acre?	Kalshi	22%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 192 bu/acre?	Kalshi	8%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 196 bu/acre?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$105.80K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above X bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on Wisconsin’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production Annual Summary containing the final 2026 estimate. Yield is measured in bushels per harvested acre. Corn silage yield will not be considered. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. This market will close

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Wisconsin corn yield in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above X bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on Wisconsin’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production Annual Summary containing the final 2026 estimate. Yield is measured in bushels per harvested acre. Corn silage yield will not be considered. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. This market will close 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 

196 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wisconsin’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $105.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 196 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $14.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $96
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $12.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 176 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $17.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 192 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $8.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 188 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $9.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 184 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $20.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Wisconsin corn yield in 2026

Volume$105.80K

Markets9

9 of 9

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KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 164 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wisconsin’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production

KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 168 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wisconsin’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production

KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 172 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wisconsin’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production

KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 176 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.0¢No 22.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 176 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 176 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wisconsin’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production

KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 180 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wisconsin’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production

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Wisconsin corn yield in 2026

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Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Wisconsin corn yield in 2026

Markets (9)

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 176 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 176 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?

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Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Wisconsin corn yield in 2026

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 176 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 176 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?

Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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