Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

Total Volume

$304.41K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

Vol

$304.41K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $304.41K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $304.41K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?	Kalshi	98%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?	Kalshi	98%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?	Kalshi	94%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 140 bu/acre?	Kalshi	92%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 145 bu/acre?	Kalshi	68%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 150 bu/acre?	Kalshi	62%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 155 bu/acre?	Kalshi	29%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 160 bu/acre?	Kalshi	15%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 165 bu/acre?	Kalshi	12%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 170 bu/acre?	Kalshi	11%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 175 bu/acre?	Kalshi	7%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$304.41K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

2026 If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above X bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production Annual Summary containing the final 2026 estimate. Yield is measured in bushels per harvested acre. Corn silage yield will not be considered. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. This market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** South Dakota corn yield in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above X bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production Annual Summary containing the final 2026 estimate. Yield is measured in bushels per harvested acre. Corn silage yield will not be considered. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. This market will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 

125 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Prod"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $304.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $26.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $22.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 140 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 145 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $26.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 150 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $13.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 155 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $24.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 160 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $53.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $37.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 175 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $23.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 170 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $29.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 165 bu/acre?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $38.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

Volume$304.41K

Markets12

12 of 12

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KALSHI

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 125 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Prod

KALSHI

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 130 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Prod

KALSHI

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 135 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Prod

KALSHI

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 140 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 140 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 140 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Prod

KALSHI

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 145 bu/acre?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 145 bu/acre?

If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 145 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Prod

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South Dakota corn yield in 2026

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

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Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?

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Events (1)

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

Markets (12)

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 140 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 140 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 145 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 145 bu/acre?

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Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 140 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 140 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 145 bu/acre?

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 145 bu/acre?

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