Name: BAFTA Film Awards: Best Leading Actress Winner
End: 2026-02-22T00:00:00.000Z

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BAFTA Film Awards: Best Leading Actress Winner | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $600.40

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $600.40

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	91%
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	4%
Will Chase Infiniti win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	3%
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	3%
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	3%
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	3%
Will Tessa Thompson win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	2%
Will Andrea Riseborough win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	2%
Will Jennifer Lawrence win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	2%
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$600.40

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person that wins the Leading Actress category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed pe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** BAFTA Film Awards: Best Leading Actress Winner
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 22, 2026 (37 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person that wins the Leading Actress category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed pe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person that wins the Leading Actr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $600
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jennifer Lawrence win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Andrea Riseborough win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Tessa Thompson win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $144
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Chase Infiniti win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 22, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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