Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

Name: How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$300.36K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

Vol

$300.36K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $300.36K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $300.36K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Poly	76%
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	Poly	19%
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Poly	4%
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$300.36K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct qualifying Millennium Prize Problems for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Each qualifying problem is counted once, regardless of how many eligible AI labs announce a solution to it or how many announcements are made. The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of distinct qualifying Millennium Prize Problems for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Each qualifying problem is counted once, regardless of how many eligible AI labs announce a solution to it or how many announcements are made.

The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of distinct qualifying Millennium Prize Problems for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Each qualifying problem is counted once, regardless of how many eligible AI labs announce a solution to it or how ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $300.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $90.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.32)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $113.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $41.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $52.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $49.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $23.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $19.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech