France Nominal GDP in 2026 | PredictPedia

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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

France Nominal GDP in 2026

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France Nominal GDP in 2026

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

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14 markets tracked

France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.2 trillion)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.2 trillion)	Kalshi	95%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.3 trillion)	Kalshi	91%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.4 trillion)	Kalshi	83%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.5 trillion)	Kalshi	70%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.6 trillion)	Kalshi	50%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.7 trillion)	Kalshi	36%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.8 trillion)	Kalshi	22%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.9 trillion)	Kalshi	9%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)	Kalshi	5%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.1 trillion)	Kalshi	4%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.3 trillion)	Kalshi	4%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.2 trillion)	Kalshi	4%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.5 trillion)	Kalshi	3%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.4 trillion)	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

In 2026 If France Nominal GDP is above X trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** France Nominal GDP in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If France Nominal GDP is above X trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If France Nominal GDP is above $4.5 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year. Early close condition: This market will close "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.5 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.4 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.3 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.2 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.1 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.9 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.8 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.7 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.6 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.5 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.4 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.3 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.2 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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France Nominal GDP in 2026

France Nominal GDP in 2026

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.2 trillion)

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About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.2 trillion)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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