Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Total Goals

Total Volume

$13.91K

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Markets

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Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Total Goals

Vol

$13.91K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $13.91K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.91K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	90%
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	67%
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	40%
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	20%
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	8%
Will over 5.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$13.91K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

GEM vs NOB (Oct 12) If over X goals are scored in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Total Goals
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** GEM vs NOB (Oct 12)

If over X goals are scored in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will over 5.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will over 4.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $273
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will over 3.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will over 2.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $135
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will over 0.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Total Goals

Volume$13.91K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a

KALSHI

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a

KALSHI

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a

KALSHI

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a

KALSHI

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

If over 4.5 goals are scored in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a

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38¢

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Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Total Goals

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Events (1)

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Total Goals

Markets (6)

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Total Goals

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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