Worlds 2026: Winner
PM $14.08M · K 913.4K contracts
2
4
Worlds 2026: Winner
PM $14.08M · K 913.4K contracts
2
4
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Nov 10, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, Gen.G is priced at 62.5% on Polymarket and 62.5% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gen.GSame question, fine print differs | 62.5% | 62.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Bilibili GamingSame question, fine print differs | 37.7% | 37.5% | 0.2 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $14.08M · K 913.4K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
2
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 10, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-09T09:00:06.079Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
Both platforms list contracts on the 2026 League of Legends World Championship. The Polymarket event says its markets resolve according to the winner of Worlds 2026, which is "currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026" [1]. If the tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or has no declared winner within that window, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. If several teams are declared winners, the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically wins [1]. Polymarket names Riot Games, through the LoL Esports website, as the resolution source, and says a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
The Kalshi contract resolves to Yes if the named team is the champion, and the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [2]. The supplied Kalshi excerpt names no resolution source and no tie-break or postponement rule, so those points cannot be compared with Polymarket from the evidence.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-09 09:00 UTC, and the sources were retrieved at 11:07 UTC on the same day. The prices below describe that observation only.
- Polymarket: Gen.G Yes 0.625; Bilibili Gaming Yes 0.3755 (No 0.6245).
- Kalshi: Gen.G Yes 0.625; Bilibili Gaming Yes 0.375 (No 0.625).
Each platform's sample includes two markets, all of them included and none partial. These samples cover only these two teams, so they do not show other teams' prices, and no omitted outcome should be assumed to be priced lower. The prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Do not average the Polymarket and Kalshi figures, since they are separate contracts with different wording and close times. A small gap between platforms is not an arbitrage opportunity on its own.
Listed end times differ: Polymarket shows 2026-11-29 04:59 UTC and Kalshi shows 2026-11-29 15:00 UTC. These are listed end times, not confirmed resolution dates.
What remains uncertain
The Kalshi event excerpt says its listed end time is "not supplied," yet its market records show 2026-11-29T15:00:00.000Z. The evidence does not resolve this discrepancy. The sources do not explain why prices stand where they do, how many traders hold positions, or what the volume figures mean for liquidity. The sample warning notes that the providers' listings do not establish that every real-world outcome appears. The evidence also does not establish the tournament's status beyond the rule text.
References
- Polymarket: Worlds 2026: Winner. Provider data observed 2026-11-09T09:00:06.079Z.
- Kalshi: Worlds 2026 Champion. Provider data observed 2026-11-09T09:00:06.079Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 9, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract belongs to the Worlds 2026 event, which is the 2026 League of Legends World Championship. The source describes the tournament as "currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026" [1]. Because the tournament is scheduled rather than confirmed as finished, the contract's resolution depends on how the event concludes. The market is a winner-style contract. It resolves to the winner of Worlds 2026 [1]. The source sets out several conditions. If the tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, is canceled, or no winner is declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically [1]. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-11-29T04:59:00.000Z [1]. The markets in this event each name one team, such as a question asking whether a specific team will win Worlds 2026. Each contract is a separate yes or no question within the same event. The event's contract rules do not establish that the listed teams are the only possible winners, so an outcome that is not listed should not be assumed to be absent from the field.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which team wins Worlds 2026, the 2026 League of Legends World Championship, as determined under the event's stated resolution rules [1]. Its value comes from the outcome of that competition and how the rules handle postponement, cancellation, shared winners, and the absence of a declared winner [1]. A price reflects the market's current trading view of an outcome at the time it was recorded, not a verified probability that the team will win. The application's snapshot section gives the observed prices and their timing.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-06 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What source determines how this market resolves?
The resolution source is official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website. A consensus of credible reporting, such as Liquipedia, may also be used [1].
What happens if the tournament is postponed or canceled?
If the tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
What happens if more than one team is declared a winner?
The market resolves in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
2
Largest saved gap: 0.2 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
