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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 23?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 23?
Vol

PM $24

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Events

1

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Markets

11

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 25°C at 46%.

Polymarket

  1. 25°C46%
  2. 26°C33.5%
  3. 24°C29%
  4. 19°C or below27%
  5. 21°C27%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $24

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 21?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 21?

PM $15.1K
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 21?Yes 99.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 21?Yes 0.8%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 21?Yes 0.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 22?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 22?

PM $5.1K
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 22?Yes 68%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?Yes 18%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 23?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 23?

PM $268.47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 23?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 23?

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 23?

PM $24
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 23?Yes 33.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 23?Yes 28%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 23?Yes 27.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 23?

Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 23?

PM $0
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on October 23?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or higher on October 23?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on October 23?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Taipei on October 23?

Lowest temperature in Taipei on October 23?

PM $0
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 18°C or below on October 23?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on October 23?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on October 23?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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