Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

Name: Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.75K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

Vol

$1.75K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.75K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.75K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?	Poly	78%
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?	Poly	39%
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 15?	Poly	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$1.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 50 flights depart from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) within a single calendar day in Riyadh local time (Arabia Standard Time, AST), between the date of market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (19 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 50 flights depart from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) within a single calendar day in Riyadh local time (Arabia Standard Time, AST), between the date of market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 50 flights depart from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) within a single calendar day in Riyadh local time (Arabia Standard Time, AST), between the date of market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No""

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $31.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $887
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $71
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $787
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics