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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Name: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
End: 2026-04-28T17:20:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.27M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Vol

$1.27M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.27M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.27M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$1.27M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 28 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolv

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 28 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Top Esports.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolv

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Weibo Gaming and Top Esports each destroy at least one ene"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $39
* **Total Liquidity:** $3
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 14.66)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $29
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Top Esports: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume$1.27M

Markets7

7 of 7

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Weibo Gaming and Top Esports each destroy at least one ene

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 2. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Weibo Gaming and Top Esports each destroy at least one ene

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

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Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/VfWCBN" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"></iframe>

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

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Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Markets (7)

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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