Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

THE UNIT vs. STATE

Total Volume

$1.17K

Events

Markets

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THE UNIT vs. STATE

Vol

$1.17K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.17K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.17K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

THE UNIT wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
THE UNIT wins	Kalshi	88%
STATE wins	Kalshi	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$1.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

THE UNIT vs. STATE (Oct 12) If X wins the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the full match in the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant mat

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** THE UNIT vs. STATE
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** THE UNIT vs. STATE (Oct 12)

If X wins the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the full match in the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant mat

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If THE UNIT wins the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the full match in the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. THE UNIT wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $607
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. STATE wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $563
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

THE UNIT vs. STATE

Volume$1.17K

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

THE UNIT wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

THE UNIT wins

If THE UNIT wins the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the full match in the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2

KALSHI

STATE wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

STATE wins

If STATE wins the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the full match in the United21 2026: THE UNIT vs. STATE CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026

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51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/VjPmz0" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="THE UNIT vs. STATE"></iframe>

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THE UNIT wins

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Events (1)

THE UNIT vs. STATE

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THE UNIT wins

THE UNIT wins

STATE wins

STATE wins

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