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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?

CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?
Vol

PM $3.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is June 30, 2027 at 44.5%.

Polymarket

  1. June 30, 202744.5%
  2. March 31, 202735%
  3. December 31, 202621%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.4K

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc., or its rating on CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." "Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating, or Moody's Ratings' corporate family rating or long-term issuer rating, on CoreWeave, Inc. A downgrade of CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc. is unchanged. A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify. As of market creation, CoreWeave, Inc. is rated B+ by S&P Global Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865295/) and Ba3 by Moody's Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865521/), both below investment grade. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?

Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?

PM $2.6K
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?Yes 32%
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026?Yes 19.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

PM $273.6K
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 28.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 21.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

K 80.5K contracts
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?Yes 37.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?Yes 12%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?Yes 9.2%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Basketball Players Traded

Pro Basketball Players Traded

K 61.7K contracts
Will Kyrie Irving be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 53.5%
Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 50.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

PM $98.53M · K 5.74M contracts

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 73.6%Review neededK Yes 77%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 17.5%Review neededK Yes 20%

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 0.5%Review neededK Yes 6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

PM $49.15M · K 124.6K contracts

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 58.5%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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