Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Name: Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer
End: 2026-10-19T10:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$215.71

Events

Markets

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Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Vol

$215.71

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $215.71

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $215.71

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	56%
Maia: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer	Poly	54%
Moeller vs. Neumayer: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	52%
Moeller vs. Neumayer: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	51%
Set 2 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer	Poly	50%
Game Spread: Lukas Neumayer (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer	Poly	47%
Moeller vs. Neumayer: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	47%
Set 1 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer	Poly	46%
Elmer Moeller vs. Lukas Neumayer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	40%
Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	38%
Set Handicap: Lukas Neumayer (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5)	Poly	35%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$215.71

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Lukas Neumayer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Lukas Neumayer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Lukas Neumayer.

This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Elmer Moeller.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Lukas Neumayer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Lukas Neumayer.

This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas N"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $216
* **Total Liquidity:** $27.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $216
  DATA: [Elmer Moeller: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Lukas Neumayer: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Maia: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Elmer Moeller: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [Lukas Neumayer: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Elmer Moeller: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Lukas Neumayer: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Elmer Moeller vs. Lukas Neumayer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Moeller vs. Neumayer: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Moeller vs. Neumayer: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Moeller vs. Neumayer: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Lukas Neumayer (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Lukas Neumayer: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [Elmer Moeller: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Lukas Neumayer (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Lukas Neumayer: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Elmer Moeller: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Volume$215.71

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Maia: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Lukas Neumayer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played t

POLYMARKET

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Lukas Neumayer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Elmer Moeller” if Elmer Moeller wins the first set. It will resolve to “Lukas Neumayer” if Lukas Neumayer wins the first s

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Lukas Neumayer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Elmer Moeller” if Elmer Moeller wins set 2. It will resolve to “Lukas Neumayer” if Lukas Neumayer wins set 2. If the match

POLYMARKET

Elmer Moeller vs. Lukas Neumayer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Elmer Moeller vs. Lukas Neumayer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Lukas Neumayer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwi

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Oct 19, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC

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47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/VnGzC_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer"></iframe>

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Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

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Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Markets (16)

Maia: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Maia: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Set 1 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Set 1 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Set 2 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Set 2 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Elmer Moeller vs. Lukas Neumayer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Elmer Moeller vs. Lukas Neumayer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Moeller vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Maia: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Maia: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Set 1 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Set 1 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Set 2 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Set 2 Winner: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer

Elmer Moeller vs. Lukas Neumayer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Elmer Moeller vs. Lukas Neumayer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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