Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?

Total Volume

$6.73K

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British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?

Vol

$6.73K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.73K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.73K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	97%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	96%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	95%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	93%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	83%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 42 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	63%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 47 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	53%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 52 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	30%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 57 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	11%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 62 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$6.73K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

On Oct 24, 2026 If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least X seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes. X seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candid

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 24, 2026

If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least X seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes. X seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candid

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 62 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 62 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 57 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 52 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 47 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 42 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?

Volume$6.73K

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral

KALSHI

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral

KALSHI

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral

KALSHI

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral

KALSHI

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral

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62¢

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British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?

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Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?

Markets (10)

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

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Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

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