Critics Choice Awards: Best Hair and Makeup
PM $29.8K · K 41.7K contracts
3
44
Critics Choice Awards: Best Hair and Makeup
PM $29.8K · K 41.7K contracts
3
44
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Werwulf is the highest-priced outcome on both platforms, at 37.4% on Polymarket and 95% on Kalshi.
Polymarket
- Werwulf37.4%
- Digger22.5%
- The Odyssey18%
- Dune: Part Three9%
- Clayface8%
Kalshi
- Werwulf95%
- The Odyssey83.5%
- Digger60.5%
- Dune: Part Three59.5%
- Wicker59.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $29.8K · K 41.7K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
44
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In 2027 If X has won Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. The market will close and expire early following nominations being released, if X is not nominated, or the awards show.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers the Kalshi event "Critics Choice Awards: Best Hair and Makeup" [1]. Each contract asks whether a specific nominee will win. The rules state that "If X has won Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes." The same source says "The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027," which is an expectation in the contract rules, not a confirmed event date in this evidence [1].
The rules also say the market "will close and expire early following nominations being released, if X is not nominated, or the awards show" [1]. Early closing therefore depends on those conditions. The listed end time on each contract is 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. That date does not match the expected ceremony date in the rules, and the provider's own end time field reads "not supplied" [1]. Readers should treat the listed close time and the expected ceremony date as separate fields.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-21T12:37:05.413Z. These are point-in-time snapshots, not current or executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. The saved event lists 16 markets, and 12 are included here. The inclusion rule ranks markets by Yes price, then volume, so the omitted four are not shown and should not be assumed to have lower prices. Within the included set, the highest Yes prices are 0.33 for the market on Werwulf, 0.215 for The Odyssey, and 0.085 for Digger. Several other contracts show a Yes price of 0.015. Because all markets come from one provider event, comparing them within this set is more straightforward than comparing across events.
Volume is not liquidity or a count of traders, and the evidence does not include either measure in a way that supports inference here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not show how many participants hold any view. No nomination results or other recent developments appear in the supplied material. The snapshot cannot indicate the eventual outcome, and differences in wording or close times across other platforms would need separate review before any comparison.
References
- Kalshi: Critics Choice Awards: Best Hair and Makeup. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract asks whether a specified film will win the Best Hair and Makeup award at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. Kalshi lists it as an event with a set of single-film markets. Under the contract rules, a market resolves to Yes if the named film wins the award at that ceremony [1]. The rules state that the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 3, 2027 [1]. That date describes the expected ceremony, not a confirmed event date for resolution purposes, and the rules say the market may close and expire early after nominations are released, if the named film is not nominated, or after the awards show [1]. The category belongs to a broader group of makeup and hairstyling awards. The Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling is described as the Academy Award given for the best achievement in makeup and hairstyling for film [2]. Traditionally three films have been nominated each year, with exceptions in the early 1980s and in 2002, when there were two nominees, and in 1999, when there were four. Beginning with the 92nd Academy Awards, five films were nominated [2]. The BAFTA Award for Best Make Up and Hair is presented by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts at the annual British Academy Film Awards, in recognition of make-up artists and hairstylists who deliver outstanding makeup and hairstyling in a film [3]. These sources describe other awards in the same craft area and do not establish how the Critics Choice category is run. The market prices shown in this article are a point-in-time snapshot from the provider, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A partial sample of 12 of the 16 markets in this event is included, ordered by Yes price. Among the included markets, the highest Yes snapshot is for the film Werwulf at about 0.33, followed by The Odyssey at about 0.215 and Digger at about 0.085 [1]. Several markets share a Yes price of about 0.015. Because only part of the event is shown, these figures should not be read as the full field or as a ranking of all candidates.
Historical Context
The Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling has a documented nomination history in which three films were traditionally nominated each year, with stated exceptions in the early 1980s, 1999, and 2002, and five films nominated beginning with the 92nd Academy Awards [2]. The BAFTA Award for Best Make Up and Hair is presented annually at the British Academy Film Awards [3]. The supplied sources do not include history of the Critics Choice Awards or of this specific category, so the history of this contract itself cannot be described from the evidence.
Why It Matters
The contract measures one outcome: whether the named film wins Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards [1]. Each single-film market is a separate contract, so a film's price in one market says nothing about the other films' markets except through the snapshot sample shown here. Traders and readers can use the listed rules to understand what counts as Yes and when a market may close before the ceremony. The contract's expected ceremony date and early-closing conditions are both stated in the rules [1], and the market's status at the time of retrieval was active [1]. Prices reflect trading activity at a moment in time and are not confirmed probabilities of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require under this contract?
The market resolves to Yes if the named film has won Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards [1].
When is the ceremony expected to take place?
The contract rules state that the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 3, 2027 [1]. This is an expected date in the rules, not a confirmed announcement.
Can the market close before the awards show?
Yes. The rules state that the market will close and expire early following the release of nominations, if the named film is not nominated, or at the awards show [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with the Critics Choice Awards?
No. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards [1].
How many films are typically nominated in the related Academy Award category?
Traditionally three films have been nominated each year in the Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling, with exceptions in the early 1980s, in 1999, and in 2002. Beginning with the 92nd Academy Awards, five films were nominated [2].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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