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Events
GroupKALSHI

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?
Vol

K 95.88 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

6

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 95.88 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 19, 2026 If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City, CLINYC, for Oct 19, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above. The Last Trading Time will be 11:59 PM local time on October 19, 2026 regardless of any data releases or events occurring. Expiration will occur on the sooner of the first 7:00 or 8:00 AM ET following the release of the data for October 19, 2026, or one week after October 19, 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in NYC on October 19?

Lowest temperature in NYC on October 19?

PM $79.3
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 19?Yes 33.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 19?Yes 31.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on October 19?Yes 26.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?

K 1.6K contracts
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 24%
Will the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?

K 6.0K contracts
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2%
Will the minimum temperature be >42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?

K 33.5K contracts
Will it rain in Albuquerque on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will it rain in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 45%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 38%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 19, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 19, 2026?

K 50 contracts
Will the minimum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 42%
Will the minimum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 31%
Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 19, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 19, 2026?

K 32 contracts
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 29%
Will the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 27%
Will the minimum temperature be >47° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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