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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Name: Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner
End: 2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.09K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Vol

$9.09K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.09K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.09K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Poly	73%
Will Diana Onyeijaka be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Poly	14%
Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Poly	14%
Will Civil Miller-Watkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Poly	4%
Will Bill Hagerty be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Poly	1%
Will Kevin Lee McCants be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$9.09K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Tennessee. If no 2026 Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 6, 2026 (27 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Tennessee.

If no 2026 Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Tennessee.

If no 2026 Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $32.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.28)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bill Hagerty be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Civil Miller-Watkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $919
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Kevin Lee McCants be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $510
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Diana Onyeijaka be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics