Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

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How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

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5 markets tracked

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?	Kalshi	92%
Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 2 before Jan 1, 2029?	Kalshi	83%
Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029?	Kalshi	74%
Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 4 before Jan 1, 2029?	Kalshi	65%
Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029?	Kalshi	56%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

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$0.00

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About This Event

before Jan 1, 2029 If the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public is at least X before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. X store counts once it begins regular in-person grocery sales to the general public; announcements, site selection, construction completion, ribbon-cuttings, or limited preview/test openings do not count. Stores opened under a renamed or materially equivalent successor to N.Y.C. Groceries also co

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** before Jan 1, 2029

If the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public is at least X before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. X store counts once it begins regular in-person grocery sales to the general public; announcements, site selection, construction completion, ribbon-cuttings, or limited preview/test openings do not count. Stores opened under a renamed or materially equivalent successor to N.Y.C. Groceries also co

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public is at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A store counts once it begins regular in-person grocery sales to the general public; announcements, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 4 before Jan 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 2 before Jan 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

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KALSHI

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.0¢No 8.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?

If the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public is at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A store counts once it begins regular in-person grocery sales to the general public; announcements,

KALSHI

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 2 before Jan 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 2 before Jan 1, 2029?

If the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public is at least 2 before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A store counts once it begins regular in-person grocery sales to the general public; announcements,

KALSHI

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029?

If the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public is at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A store counts once it begins regular in-person grocery sales to the general public; announcements,

KALSHI

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 4 before Jan 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 4 before Jan 1, 2029?

If the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public is at least 4 before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A store counts once it begins regular in-person grocery sales to the general public; announcements,

KALSHI

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029?

If the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public is at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A store counts once it begins regular in-person grocery sales to the general public; announcements,

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74¢

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How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

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Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

Markets (5)

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 2 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 2 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 4 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 4 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029?

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Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 2 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 2 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 4 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 4 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029?

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 5 before Jan 1, 2029?

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