Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Senate Three-Way Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine

Name: Senate Three-Way Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine
End: 2026-11-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.20K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Senate Three-Way Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine

Vol

$14.20K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.20K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.20K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	Poly	26%
Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa?	Poly	23%
Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	Poly	16%
Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	Poly	15%
Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?	Poly	13%
Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	Poly	11%
Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Iowa and Maine?	Poly	6%
Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

26%

Top Probability

$14.20K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Ohio, Iowa, and Maine (including the special election in Ohio) that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Senate Three-Way Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (24 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Ohio, Iowa, and Maine (including the special election in Ohio) that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Ohio, Iowa, and Maine (including the special election in Ohio) that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a par"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $118.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Iowa and Maine?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $915
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics