Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov: Go the Distance
K 742.82 contracts
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Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov: Go the Distance
K 742.82 contracts
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1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Fight goes the distance at 35%.
Kalshi
- Fight goes the distance35%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 742.82 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov (Oct 31) If the Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 goes the distance, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T06:00:05.998Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Kalshi market on whether the fight between Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Farman Hasanov goes the distance. The provider's rules state that if the bout "originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 goes the distance, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The rules also say "This market will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The "originally scheduled" wording matters: the contract is tied to the event as described in the rules, and the excerpt does not report any change to the card. The provider's market record lists an end date of 2026-11-15 [1], but the excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The end date is a listed field, not an announced event date, and the early-close language means the two dates should not be read as the same thing.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-30T06:00:05.998Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-30T08:43:50.667Z [1]. These are different moments, and neither is a live feed. The quoted prices are Yes at 0.355 and No at 0.645 [1]. Read as a snapshot, these figures imply a 35.5% Yes price and a 64.5% No price at the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample covers one market for one provider event, and the coverage record shows no partial sample [1]. The provider's excerpt also notes that "Provider status: active" [1]. Because only one market was saved, there is no comparison across platforms or contracts, and no basis for an arbitrage claim.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the current price, any price movement since the observation, trading volume, or how many participants hold either side. The evidence also does not explain why the price is at its observed level. Whether the bout occurs as scheduled, and how it will end, cannot be determined from these sources. The saved market set is complete for this provider event, but the sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Anyone using this snapshot should check the provider's current page and rules before drawing conclusions.
References
- Kalshi: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov: Go the Distance. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T06:00:05.998Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Kalshi market on whether the scheduled bout between Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Farman Hasanov will go the distance. The contract is listed under the Sports category and is tied to a UFC Fight Night bout originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 [1]. The market resolves to Yes if the fight goes the distance, meaning it reaches the final scheduled round rather than ending earlier by a stoppage or other result [1]. The contract's own rules state that it will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The listing also notes that the provider status is active and that no listed end time was supplied [1]. The contract title says the fight was originally scheduled, so the date in the title describes the scheduling in the contract rules and is not confirmation that the bout took place on that date. The market record shows a Yes price of 0.355 and a No price of 0.645 in the saved snapshot. That snapshot was observed on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 UTC, and it was retrieved shortly after [1]. A snapshot like this is a point-in-time reading from the provider, not a live or executable quote, and it should not be read as a verified probability of the fight going the distance. The record also carries an end date of November 15, 2026, but that is a provider field and not an announced event date or confirmed closing time [1].
Historical Context
The Ultimate Fighting Championship is a mixed martial arts promotion based in the United States, and the year 2026 is described as its 34th year in history [2]. The UFC roster was described as including fighters from 74 countries as of October 15, 2026 [3]. The supplied sources do not give further background on the specific fighters or on this bout's history.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome of one scheduled bout: whether it reaches the end of its scheduled rounds without finishing early [1]. Because it is binary and tied to a specific event, its price reflects the market's pricing of that one question at the time of the snapshot. The sources do not describe how the bout is being viewed by traders or what factors influenced the price, so the snapshot should be treated as a record of the provider's price at that moment and not as an explanation of why it moved.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Yes outcome require?
The market resolves to Yes if the bout goes the distance [1].
What happens if the fight ends early?
The contract's rules tie the Yes outcome to the fight going the distance, so an early finish does not meet that condition [1]. The provider also states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
Is the October 31, 2026 date confirmed?
The contract title describes the fight as originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 [1]. The supplied sources do not confirm whether the bout took place on that date.
Does the price show the chance that the fight goes the distance?
The saved snapshot shows a Yes price of 0.355 and a No price of 0.645 [1]. That is a provider price observed at one time, not an executable quote or a verified probability.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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K 20.46 contractsMarket Insights
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