Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Round of Victory
K 3.0K contracts
1
7
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Round of Victory
K 3.0K contracts
1
7
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Decision / Draw / No Contest at 37%.
Kalshi
- Decision / Draw / No Contest37%
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to win in Round 119.5%
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to win in Round 215%
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to win in Round 311.5%
- Farman Hasanov to win in Round 13.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 3.0K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
7
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov (Oct 31) If Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round X of the Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T06:00:05.998Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event is a Kalshi event titled "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Round of Victory" [1]. Its rules say that if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in a given round of the fight "originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026," the market resolves to Yes [1]. The word "originally" means the rules do not confirm that the bout is still on that date.
The rules also say a technical decision counts as a decision, so the "Decision / Draw / No Contest" contract resolves to Yes in that case, but it does not count as a win in any round [1]. The market title for that contract is worded differently: it asks whether either competitor wins "by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest" (the title is from the saved market data, not the rules). The two wordings describe the same contract, but a reader should check the rules text before comparing it to any other platform's version.
The rules state that the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The saved contract end date is November 15, 2026, but the source lists the event end time as "not supplied." That date is a contract field, not an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-30T06:00:05.998Z. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-30T08:50:16.694Z [1]. These prices describe that observation window only and are not live quotes.
The saved sample has seven Kalshi markets, all included, with no partial sample flag. Yes prices in the snapshot are:
- Decision, draw, or no contest: 0.36
- Lebosnoyani wins in Round 1: 0.255
- Lebosnoyani wins in Round 2: 0.15
- Lebosnoyani wins in Round 3: 0.10
- Hasanov wins in Round 1: 0.065
- Hasanov wins in Round 2: 0.045
- Hasanov wins in Round 3: 0.035
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The contracts are separate, so a difference between them does not, on its own, indicate an arbitrage opportunity. The round contracts are not averaged here, and the sample does not show why any price was set.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include volume, trader counts, a listed end time, news about the fight, or any reason for the observed prices. Only one provider event is saved, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The sample description states that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome, so this view should not be treated as the full field.
References
- Kalshi: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Round of Victory. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T06:00:05.998Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Kalshi market on the UFC Fight Night bout between Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Farman Hasanov, which the contract text describes as originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 [1]. The event is listed under the title "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Round of Victory," and the saved event contains several related markets. Their structure is set out in the contract rules rather than in any outside report of the fight. The main contract asks whether Lebosnoyani wins by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification in a round, with the market resolving to Yes if that happens [1]. Related markets in the same event ask whether Lebosnoyani or Hasanov wins in Round 1, Round 2, or Round 3, and one market asks whether either competitor wins by decision or the fight ends in a draw or no contest [1]. Each market is a yes or no question, so the outcomes shown are the Yes and No sides of a single question. The contract rules state that a technical decision counts as a decision and resolves the decision, draw, or no contest outcome to Yes, but it does not count as a win in any round [1]. This is one of the most important details for reading the round markets, because a fight that ends by technical decision would not satisfy a round-winning question even though a competitor is declared the winner. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The saved snapshot was observed on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 UTC, and the source record was retrieved later that morning [1]. Prices from that snapshot are only a record of what was displayed at that time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of any result. The contract is also clearly limited to the fight and its settlement rules. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league [1].
Historical Context
The Ultimate Fighting Championship is described as a mixed martial arts promotion based in the United States, and 2026 is described as its 34th year [3]. Hasanov's background includes competition with Legacy Fighting Alliance before he signed with the UFC [2]. The sources supplied do not give further history of this specific matchup.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Lebosnoyani wins the fight by a finishing method in a particular round, and related markets measure whether Lebosnoyani or Hasanov wins in each of Rounds 1 through 3 [1]. A decision or draw outcome is handled separately, and a technical decision resolves that outcome to Yes rather than counting as a round win [1]. Traders reading the saved prices should keep the exact wording of each market in view, since the round questions and the decision question have different settlement conditions [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does a technical decision count as a win in a round?
No. The contract rules state that a technical decision is considered a decision and results in the Decision, Draw, or No Contest outcome resolving to Yes, and it will not count as a win in any round [1].
What event must happen for the main round contract to resolve to Yes?
The contract resolves to Yes if Lebosnoyani wins by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification in the specified round of the bout [1].
Does the market end early?
The contract states that it will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
Is Kalshi connected to the UFC?
The contract states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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